Deciphering Dongguan's Industrial Shortage Behind Shoes

Why is there a great passion for the mainland in the labor-intensive industries with low technology content? How to prevent cost reduction from simply evolving into compressed labor prices is a problem that must be solved before the mainland government. Dongguan: there is a rare reverse flow of migrant workers, upgrading skills to become a way out. In Dongguan, traditional industries decide whether to do something or not. Now is it going or staying? How to stay? A wandering mood is spreading among migrant workers in the Pearl River Delta region. See and touch. At 11 o'clock in February 15th, the sun drilled out the clouds and added some warmth to the crowded Dongguan bus terminus. Qu Ping, from Hengyang, Hunan, was carrying two super woven bags into the station and a large bag on his back. He said he worked in Dongguan for seven or eight years, and did not plan to come back this time. Her daughter has been a skilled worker this year, so finding a job in her hometown is not too difficult. Among the 10 migrant workers who left Dongguan in the day, Qu Ping was the only one who definitely didn't return, and 3 were "looking at it again". A blurred state of the rare 459 thousand person reverse flow statistics of Dongguan spring transportation office showed that after the Spring Festival this year, local tourists experienced a rare reflux phenomenon in the mainland, and only 459 thousand people returned during the long period of seven days. The destination of the reflux is mainly the concentration of migrant workers in Wuhan, Macheng, Chengdu, Fuyang, Nanchang and Hefei. At the beginning of the third year of the lunar new year, the total number of passengers sent by the Dongguan city bus terminus exceeded 20 thousand every day. The number of passengers to Hunan is about 10 times that of the same period last year. This year, after the Dongguan Festival, the northbound passenger flow is obviously higher than the new phenomenon in the past years. Is it because of the rare snowstorm? After the holiday, the information provided by Dongguan talent market is that the number of job seekers has not been reduced. This seems to give a positive answer to the above question mark. "At present, it is still a state of ambiguity." This sentence is the answer of Xiao Xinxin, deputy director of Dongguan employment and employment service management center. His explanation is that because of the snowstorm year ago, workers returned to the countryside only after this year's work. Therefore, it is too early to say that migrant workers are retreating or migrant workers are not returning. However, the sentence behind the many years of work in the field of employment service is quite meaningful: the government departments in Dongguan are increasing their support for migrant workers. Back or stay? It's not just businesses that worry about the feet of migrant workers. After standing at the crossroads, the turnover rate of employees is as high as 30% after the year. According to the survey, the turnover rate of many enterprises in Dongguan is two or three. The number of garment factories and shoe factories is 60%. There are 1200 advertisements advertised in front of Changan Jie's Shoe Co., Ltd. The Taiwan funded enterprise has more than 4000 employees. It is rumoured that thousands of workers were on strike before the Spring Festival. When asked for confirmation from the personnel department, the other side denied the strike statement, saying that "there is a slight problem, but this is also a problem for most shoe factories". The ubiquitous problem is that the expectations of migrant workers for the treatment and employment environment are rising. This mentality is affecting the prospects of the whole industry. According to legend, this is one reason why thousands of large and medium-sized shoe companies have failed in the past year. Huang Chunming, Secretary General of Dongguan leather and Footwear Association, complained that the panic brought about by the collapse of shoe factories was magnified. However, Huang Chunming also believes that with the compression of profit space, the transformation of shoe factories in Dongguan is imminent, but this is obviously not in one or two years. According to the relevant sources of the association, two years ago, many Taiwanese shoe factories in Dongguan moved to Vietnam, Thailand and other places in Southeast Asia. From the feedback situation, the benefits were not very good, because the matching costs were large, and sometimes the materials had to be shipped from Dongguan. This is a dilemma. Zhou Mingyi, who runs a plastic factory in Qingxi Town, has had a bad Spring Festival this year. The factory started work at the beginning of three. "There is no way. Three hundred years ago, there were two or three hundred people in the factory, and now only 100 people do not work overtime, they are too busy." Even so, Zhou Mingyi said, it is impossible to raise wages for employees. Because processing enterprises, such as profit margins are thin, prices are rising, raw materials and wages are increased, banks stop lending, export tax rebates are reduced, processing trade restrictive catalogues are adjusted, and so on, almost all of them broke out in the second half of last year, leaving no buffer period for enterprises. It looks like a fatality: a pay increase is not feasible; no increase in wages, the loss of migrant workers is still not easy. Sooner or later, transformation is needed, but transformation is not as simple as moving one or two factories, because the complete industrial chain that Dongguan has formed over the years will not be able to turn over in one or two days. So Huang Chunming said, "transformation is easier said than done." Sooner or later, the way forward is to enhance skills. In fact, this seems to be a sudden burst of labor and capital pains. The Dongguan government had a "foreboding" a few years ago and has begun to prepare. Last January, the twelfth Party Congress of Dongguan formally put forward a dual transformation strategy from resource dominated to innovation led, from primary urbanization to advanced urbanization. Seemingly bureaucratic, but the significance of strategy lies in the high degree of influence sooner or later. From relevant departments in Dongguan, from January to May this year, the city will carry out the "emancipation of the mind" activity, and specifically study the 16 threads of Dongguan's scientific development, including dual transformation, technology venture capital, outsourcing industry, low rent housing, welfare allocation and so on. It is foreseeable that these things will bring revolutionary changes to the employment market. Whether active or passive, Dongguan's industrial upgrading will make the migrant workers in the Pearl River delta face a serious two-way choice. Specifically, it is good for skilled workers and high-level talents, and the demand for general workers will be compressed without any doubt. Xue Xiang, an analyst at chain corporation brand Department of Zhitong talent, said that whether it is the withdrawal of enterprises or the upgrading of enterprises, it is expected to ease the pressure on the recruitment of general practitioners. If we want to match this change, the young generation of migrant workers, especially the pursuers, must take the initiative to adapt themselves to the transformation of their status and skills, just like taking a cat step, elegant but painful. An intriguing phenomenon is that it is hard to see such words as "wage earners", "migrant workers" and "migrant workers" both in government documents and in the local media. It is good for both sides to start to understand how to retain and treat those workers at the bottom.