The National Bureau Of Statistics Will Issue Economic Data Such As GDP In The Three Quarter.

< p > according to the schedule of statistical information released this year, the National Bureau of statistics will publish the three quarter gross domestic product (GDP) < < a href= > http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.as > economic < /a > data.

A number of agencies predict that the GDP growth rate in the three quarter will rise somewhat compared with the 7.5% level in the two quarter, with a growth rate of about 7.7%.

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Wang Tao, chief economist of UBS Securities, told reporters that the upcoming September figures will show that real economic activity remains strong, but the growth of P may be slightly weaker.

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< p > the data released in advance are very optimistic. In September, China's official PMI was 51.1%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points over August and a 3 consecutive month of recovery.

At the same time, HSBC's HSBC PMI final value in September also rose for the second consecutive month.

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< p > CITIC Securities chief economist Zhu Jianfang said that in the third quarter of this year, under the policy of steady growth, demand rebounded. This led to the recovery of the industry. The recovery of the second industry was quite obvious. Because the real estate market was relatively stable, under the influence of the policy of "three powers" consumption, the third industry growth was still relatively mild, and the GDP growth rate in the third quarter was expected to be 7.7%.

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< p > Yang Weixiao, a macro analyst at Lian Xin securities, believes that < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > the three quarter GDP < /a > will reach 7.9%.

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< p > looking forward to the future policy trend, the report believes that domestic demand is gradually recovering because of no macroeconomic policy stimulus.

The government has indicated that it will not stimulate economic growth in order to achieve its goals.

Maintaining the status quo is the best policy countermeasure at present.

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In terms of factors affecting economic growth, P is still more reassuring.

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< p > credit growth has rebounded strongly after the sharp rise in interbank market interest rates in June and the apparent slowdown in credit expansion in 6 and July.

In September, RMB loans increased by 787 billion yuan, which was higher than that of new loans in 7 and August.

The total amount of new RMB loans has reached 7 trillion and 280 billion yuan since the beginning of this year.

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< p > Wang Tao said that in the coming months, the government may have a moderate attitude towards credit growth.

Under this influence, the growth of loans and social financing scale of "a href=" http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_q.asp "/a" may exceed the previous forecast and provide more support for economic growth in the next quarter of 1~2.

This may help ensure that the growth of the whole year exceeds the growth baseline of this year under the uncertainty of exports.

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