What Opportunities And Challenges Are Sustainable Development Facing? This Is The Highest Level Meeting Of Asian Chemical Fiber Industry.
Recently, the two-year professional meeting of the highest level of Asian chemical fiber industry has been held. The twelfth Asian chemical fiber Conference It was held in Bali Island, Indonesia. The theme of this conference is "Sustainable development of chemical fiber" Representatives from China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Pakistan, Taiwan and Thailand in 9 countries and regions participated in the meeting.
Challenges and opportunities coexist
At present, the global economy is in the process of multiple factors interacting. The global chemical fiber industry is undergoing a period of adjustment and adjustment. The main producing countries and regions in Asia are facing challenges of further pformation and upgrading. On the first day of the conference, representatives of the chemical fiber industry in Indonesia, China, India, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Pakistan, China Taiwan and Thailand focused on the development status, structural readjustment and challenges of their respective textile and chemical fiber industries, and predicted and discussed the future development of these industries.
China As the world's largest producer and consumer of chemical fiber, China's chemical fiber industry has a good overall operation quality in 2018, and its production has maintained a good growth, and its growth rate has been stabilized at a relatively high level. However, the operation of various sub sectors has been differentiated, and the polyester and nylon industry has performed well in general, and the operation of viscose fiber, acrylic fiber and spandex industry is more difficult.
He Zhuosheng, vice president of Guangdong Xinhui Mei Da nylon Limited by Share Ltd On behalf of China's chemical fiber industry, it introduces the status quo of the development of the industry, and forecasts the operation and development trend of the industry. According to the statistics of China's National Bureau of statistics, the output of Chinese chemical fiber reached 50 million 110 thousand tons in 2018, an increase of 7.68% over the same period last year. Polyester accounted for 80.1%. The added value of China's chemical fiber industry increased by 7.6% over the same period last year, 1.8 percentage points faster than that of last year, and the main business income was 798 billion 958 million yuan, an increase of 12.42% over the same period last year. The total realized profit was 39 billion 389 million yuan, up 10.31% over the same period last year. Chemical fiber industry has become an important support for the economic growth of the textile industry. In the majority of sub sectors, the profit margin of the sub industry has dropped compared with that in 2017. The polyester industry has made a brilliant performance, with a profit margin of 5.12%, an increase of 0.27 percentage points over the same period, which has become an important support for the growth of the chemical fiber industry.
From the market level, the increase in industry profits is mainly attributable to the rise of product prices and the follow-up of downstream demand, but its essence is the structural reform of supply side and the relationship between supply and demand has been improved. In addition, with the promotion of the "three products strategy", the core competitiveness of China's chemical fiber industry has also been improved.
As the global economy continues to expand, but the growth momentum is weakening. For the development trend of the industry, He Zhuosheng said that in 2019, China's economy was stable and changing, with worries and worries. The external environment was complex and severe, and the economy was facing downward pressure. Against this background, the main operational indicators of the textile industry will decline faster than in 2018, and the pressure of export growth will be particularly prominent. The progress of Sino US trade frictions is still tortuous, with various negative effects appearing gradually, which will have an impact on market expectations and enterprise production and operation. However, the domestic market environment facing the textile and chemical fiber industry is still stable, and the opportunity to tap domestic demand is still there. Industrial enterprises should focus on improving production efficiency and anti risk ability, and continue to maintain steady development trend.
India During 2017~2018, India's GDP growth rate was 7.2%, the fastest growing economy in South Asia. In the next few years, India's economic growth is expected to be stronger and continue to be higher than the global average. The average age of India's population is relatively young, and will enjoy a unique position of population advantage over a long period of time. This is a strong factor in promoting investment and consumption, which makes India market extremely potential.
In 2018, the production capacity of India chemical fiber raw materials were: PX 5 million 855 thousand tons, PTA 6 million 430 thousand tons, MEG 2 million 349 thousand tons, and caprolactam 75 thousand tons. It is evident that India has sufficient raw material supply to ensure the production of more stable chemical fiber; the output of chemical fiber is 3 million 477 thousand tons of polyester filament, 1 million 570 thousand tons of polyester staple fiber, 546 thousand tons of cellulose fiber, 93 thousand tons of acrylic fiber, and 105 thousand tons of nylon, which can achieve sustainable supply.
S C Kapur, Secretary General of India synthetic fiber Association It is said that all links in the manufacturing and marketing of textiles, such as raw materials, yarns, fabrics, clothing and garments, help India to become a reliable purchasing center. The continuous improvement of innovation capability, the implementation of intelligent manufacturing and the application of better technology are conducive to the steady development of the textile industry; and the government's continued policy support and friendly investment environment conducive to business make India one of the best choice for foreign investment.
Japan Since 1950s, the production of chemical fiber products has gone through the process of expansion from pursuit to quality growth. After the 2008 global economic crisis, the scale of chemical fiber production has declined. During this time, structural reforms have been carried out. Every enterprise has chosen its own advantages and focused on the production of high value-added products. In 2015, the industry again warned that the consumption of chemical fiber in the fiscal year of 2017 (from April to March) was 949 thousand tons, and the proportion of non apparel products increased to 82%, indicating that the industry was out of the trough.
In 2018, the output of Japanese chemical fiber was 880 thousand tons, 3% less than that of the previous year, and the output of vehicle and nonwovens remained stable. This trend is expected to continue with the demand for Japanese industrial and home furnishings. The textile export value is $8 billion 200 million, an increase of 3.3% compared with the previous year, with an import value of 39 billion 400 million US dollars, an increase of 7.5% over the previous year, and a trade deficit of 31 billion 200 million US dollars. The main export items of textiles (including nonwovens, automotive textiles, coated fabrics and industrial textiles such as ropes, nets, tents) continued to decrease and non apparel textiles increased.
Although China is Japan's largest importer and exporter, its share has been decreasing year by year. From 2007 to 2018, the proportion of exports dropped from 39% to 30%, and imports fell from 75% to 57%. ASEAN countries account for a continuous increase in the proportion of Japanese textiles.
For the future development of the industry, Vice president of Japan Chemical Fiber Association, President of UNITIKA company &CEO Hiroyuki SHIME It is necessary to strengthen the technological development of high performance and high functional fibers, develop new markets, further promote standardization (JIS/ISO), research the diversity of end user application fields, and strengthen cross industry cooperation with potential application industries.
The Republic of Korea In 2018, the output of chemical fiber was 1 million 363 thousand tons, the annual growth rate decreased by 1%. Compared with the previous year, polyester staple fiber increased by 1%, but polyester filament, nylon and polyacrylonitrile decreased by 1.5%, 5.6% and 10.8% respectively. The sales volume was 1 million 344 thousand tons, the annual growth rate decreased by 3.1%, polyester filament, polyester staple fiber, nylon and polyacrylonitrile cotton decreased 3.6%, 1.5%, 5.3% and 5.3% respectively, while domestic sales accounted for 5.3%, while export sales accounted for the popularity, polyester filament / nylon was mainly sold domestically, polyester staple fiber / polyacrylonitrile was mainly exported.
In 2018, the Korean chemical fiber industry encountered an unprecedented difficult period due to the reduction of market share, excessive price competition, the strengthening of various environmental regulations and the global and domestic oversupply. How to deal with such a predicament? Korea Chemical Fiber Association Kim Jingyu He said that the Asian chemical fiber industry should cooperate with the global industry; the reintegration of the Korean chemical fiber industry should consider reducing the gap between supply and demand and improving productivity; the chemical fiber company should shift its existing business scope to high value-added materials and products with high performance and high functionality, especially with the end users, and find the consumption trend of the industry. The core strategy of the first-class enterprises is to develop new materials, prepare for the future industrial development, and ultimately achieve the healthy development of the industry.
Malaysia In 2018, the textile and garment industry exports amounted to US $2 billion 921 million, with an average annual compound growth rate of 3.86%. The United States is the largest export market for its products, accounting for more than 18% of the total textile and clothing exports every year, and imports of US $3 billion 327 million, with an average annual compound growth rate of -3.35%. In 2018, the output of chemical fiber was 250 thousand tons of polyester filament, 116 thousand tons of polyester staple fiber, and 94% of the start-up rate, of which 133 thousand tons of polyester filament were exported and 103 thousand tons of polyester staple fiber exported.
Two speakers in Malaysia Regina Leong, Calvin Ng Express, Malaysia's textile and garment industry faces many challenges: About 40% of the labour force is foreign workers, while the wages of the chemical fiber and textile industries are relatively low compared with other industries. Therefore, the shortage of workers has become a major obstacle to the development of the textile and garment industry. The rising and increasing operating costs of enterprises, reverse tariffs in free trade agreements, hard to get support and economic assistance are all unfavorable to industrial development. In order to promote the development of textile and garment industry, Malaysia has listed it as a key industry in the 3 (MP3) of industrial master plan, promoting the development of industrial 4 through artificial intelligence and big data. At the same time, it promotes industrial pformation and upgrading. The key point is to produce high quality products, such as industrial and household textiles, functional fabrics, high-tech textiles and smart clothing, so as to enhance the value of industrial chain.
Pakistan The textile industry accounts for 8.5% of the gross domestic product. It is the fourth largest cotton producer in the world. It has the third largest spinning capacity in Asia. It is the fourth largest pet staple consumer in the world, after China, India and the United States. Over the past 6 years, Pakistan polyester staple manufacturers have been reduced to three now, thanks to the diversification of their businesses. In 2018, the total capacity of the three manufacturers totaled about 537 thousand tons. Pakistan is the eighth largest textile exporter in Asia. Textile products account for 58% of the total exports of the country. Home textiles, cotton fabrics, knitted garments and woven garments are its four largest export products. In 2018, the value of textile exports in Pakistan was $13 billion 550 million, an increase of 10.43% over the same period last year. In the next 5 years, the entire textile industry chain is expected to invest 7 billion US dollars, and exports will grow by a multiple.
ICI Rizwan Afzal Chaudhary, manager of polyester fiber division, Pakistan company Pakistan textile enterprises are facing challenges such as energy costs, energy supply, inadequate infrastructure, inadequate labor and so on, as well as the tariff protection of raw materials in polyester staple industry, resulting in increased production costs and unfair competition. In response, he suggested that in the future, Pakistan should devote itself to producing high value-added products and pform it to export oriented, invest in new highly automated factories and machines, invest in downstream nonwovens to enhance domestic polyester fiber consumption, invest upstream to increase the supply of raw materials, and make full use of CPEC through technical cooperation with other countries, such as Chinese companies.
Taiwan, China In the 2005~2018 year, the output value of textile industry in Taiwan was between NT $372 billion 100 million and 501 billion 200 million yuan. In 2018, the production of man-made fibres was 2 million 390 thousand tons, and the output value of man-made fiber manufacturing industry reached NT $95 billion 800 million, accounting for 25% of the total textile industry NT $389 billion 400 million. The fiber textile industry in Taiwan has always been a strategic thinking with differentiated development, and a growth dynamic with differentiated thinking, strategy, products and market. For example, in terms of differentiated products, high-tech and multi-functional materials are used as innovative materials, temperature management through cool clothing and heating clothing, smart management through smart clothing and health care yarn, focusing on expanding products for research and development, home decoration products, medical and health care through short fiber and non-woven fabrics, and product development and production, with carbon reduction, energy saving and sustainable environmental protection as the starting point.
Yu Linghua, Deputy Secretary General of Taiwan artificial fiber manufacturing industry association The United States outdoor sporting goods exhibition, Germany international industrial textiles exhibition, home textile exhibition, etc., is concerned about developing professional textile exhibition and developing high potential market, such as Tokyo Textile Exhibition (home textiles market), Seoul Textile Exhibition (potential market), non-woven Exhibition (short fiber Market), making good use of cluster effect, opening up yarn area, such as four years of ITMA international textile and garment machinery exhibition, launching the first yarn exhibition area, promoting the excellent textile products in Taiwan area, focusing on the innovative research and development of fiber materials, such as fiber material improvement, cross-border development and cross industry integration, innovation and research and development, etc., through the cooperation with terminal brand to discern the market demand, thus bringing long-term, stable and high profit for the enterprise. The development of Taiwan's man-made fiber industry focuses on special application areas and specific customer markets, such as Germany.
Thailand It has a complete industrial chain from fiber manufacturing to garment production. Since 1985, Thailand has been one of the largest exporters of textile and clothing in the world. The United States is its largest buyer, occupying 1/3 of all textile exports in Thailand, followed by the European Union, Southeast Asia, East Asia and the Middle East.
In 2018, the export volume of Thailand's man-made fibres was 990 million US dollars, with an annual growth rate of 8.4%. The capacity of recycled polyester fiber was increased, and the export increased correspondingly. However, as the government of Thailand strictly controls the import of thin slices and PET bottles from other countries, all the operators in 2019 will adjust their coping strategies to the recycled products, while expanding more high-performance and functional fibers to the raw materials and industries. Somkid Rattanaprapaporn, President of Thailand chemical fiber Association It is especially mentioned that aramid began to enter the market in 2019, especially for safety protection products. It is evident that technology and functional textiles are more important for supporting government policies.
Indonesia The state of the economy is relatively healthy. The government is speeding up the construction of infrastructure and promoting the development of logistics. The next step will be to focus on human resources development and improve the skills of labourers, so as to keep pace with the needs of industrial development.
Indonesian fiber and filament weaving association secretary general Redma Gita Wirawasta It is said that Indonesia's textile exports are 10.5% of the total export volume of manufacturing industry, and it is an export driving factor. But it still faces challenges in terms of trade balance. It needs to improve domestic consumption and increase exports. It can encourage investment from upstream and downstream textile enterprises to increase investment and achieve some short-term goals. It encourages foreign enterprises to invest in Indonesia's textile industry, thereby reducing trade deficit.
At present, Indonesia has formed a relatively complete industrial structure such as chemical fiber, spinning, weaving, dyeing and finishing, and garment manufacturing. In 2018, Indonesia's total man-made fiber production capacity was 2 million 500 thousand tons, the output was 1 million 90 thousand tons, of which polyester filament production increased by 18.6%, which could be further developed in the domestic market. Before 2025, we hope that polyester filament and staple will have more investment, which can better meet domestic demand and achieve self-sufficiency. At the same time, we can increase domestic and foreign investment to promote the rapid development of textiles, especially nonwovens.
Exploring sustainable development path
On the second day of the conference, representatives from the chemical fiber industry in mainland China, Japan, India, Korea, Thailand, Indonesia, China Taiwan, the European Union and other countries made a keynote speech respectively, focusing on topics such as supply and demand balance, sustainability and future path. In-depth discussions and exchanges were made on the global and Asian chemical fiber industry's long-term supply / demand forecast and structural changes, analysis and market prospect of chemical fiber raw materials supply and demand, exploration of new path of development of chemical fiber industry, changes in industrial 4 to the textile industry and countermeasures, intelligent materials in chemical fiber, chemical fiber / plastic recycling and other sustainable development challenges.
New development path of chemical fiber industry in China
At the meeting, End Xiaoping As the "new path for the development of China's chemical fiber industry" report, four new paths for the development of China's chemical fiber industry are put forward: refining and chemical integration, new product development, green manufacturing and machine substitution. 他特别提到,恒力、盛虹、恒逸、荣盛、桐昆等5家化纤企业进入炼化领域,到2020年可形成炼油能力合计1亿吨,他们全部采用最先进的技术和装备,倒逼效率低、能耗高的落后产能退出市场,事实上推动了行业绿色发展;将大数据引入产品开发,可实现产品开发的可逆和可塑,缩短产品开发周期,为客户提供大规模定制服务;已连续发布8届的中国纤维流行趋势每年向市场推出近百个差异化、功能性产品,引导企业注重新产品开发,帮助企业向下游客户推广新产品且效果明显,新产品市场规模平均扩大20%,部分产品销售收入翻番;中国化学纤维工业协会2016年提出的“绿色纤维”的概念,通过第三方认证与管理的形式对市场进行规范,有效提升了化纤行业的绿色发展水平;再生纤维素纤维行业绿色发展联盟将用三年时间使行业的环保水平达到国际先进;智能制造、机 Substitution is a major trend. We can not stop it. Only by adapting to the trend of history can we survive and develop.
Medium-term supply and demand forecast and challenges of global chemical fibers
Masayuki WAGA, President of Japan Chemical Fiber Association As of 2022, it is estimated that fiber demand will reach 1.097 billion tons, chemical fiber consumption will reach 75 million 900 thousand tons, annual growth will be 4%, production capacity is expected to reach 99 million 200 thousand tons, annual growth rate is 2.6%, and the gap between production and consumption is expected to reach 23 million 300 thousand tons. The overcapacity rate in 2022 will shrink from 28.5% in 2017 to 23.4%.
Masayuki WAGA predicts that the global population is expected to increase to 9 billion 800 million in 2050, and global auto sales in 2030 are expected to grow to 120 million vehicles. In the future, global fiber demand will grow steadily. As Asia accounts for almost 90% of the world's total output of chemical fiber, Asia is shouldering a major responsibility. It also faces many challenges such as stable supply and demand, standardization, micro plastic pellets, sustainability and the sustainable development goals of the United Nations. In this regard, the Asian chemical fiber alliance should establish mutual understanding and mutual trust, accurately grasp the medium and long-term supply and demand forecast, such as through the development of mass customization and the prediction of artificial intelligence demand, achieve full and reasonable and efficient production. Of course, we need to supply according to the demand and demand expansion measures, expand the actual demand through market cultivation, and cooperate in more fields based on the technological development of their respective clothing culture, such as the cooperation in standardization has achieved certain achievements.
Demand and supply prospects of synthetic fiber materials
R D Udeshi, President of India chemical fiber Association Under the influence of various macroeconomic factors and slowing global economic growth, textile trade may also be affected by the huge volume of Global trade. Trade growth in 2019 is expected to be 3.7% and 3.9% in 2018. If the trade environment continues to deteriorate, there will be a further recession. Of course, we should also see that, driven by China's rapid growth, Asia's share in the global economy has risen to 34%, and its share is increasing. With rapid urbanization in India and Indonesia, this trend is expected to continue, and Asian economies will continue to drive global consumption growth.
Polyester fiber is still the main raw material of textile industry in the future. In the global economy, the Asian textile market will play a leading role in contribution and consumption. In the future, the industry will pay more attention to rewarding projects and investing. With the gradual growth of the economy, global demand expectations have been raised, but the recent economic turmoil has not attracted attention. Participants should carefully formulate relevant strategies.
Industry 4 and the direction of the Korean textile industry
Li Changyu, senior executive director of Korea Chemical Fiber Association Speaking of the fact that IoT and CPS have blurred the boundaries between physical systems and virtual systems in manufacturing, a new revolution, the coming of the fourth industrial revolution (4IR), will connect and change the value chain of enterprises. In the era of 4IR, the core of industry is no longer labor force. The leading value of industry shifts from labor to knowledge and technology. Under such circumstances, enterprises must create new value points through digital pformation.
In addition, software and communication systems embedded in machines and products make products intelligent, highly connected and systematized. In addition to product and manufacturing process innovation, the entire value chain, including product planning, R & D, prototyping, supply chain management, after sales service, retail, logistics and customer relationship, will benefit from cost saving, value-added and integration. Ultimately, this will speed up the integration of manufacturing and services. It can be seen that the global value chain has undergone a new round of adjustment. If businesses fail to respond effectively, this may even threaten their survival.
Application and development trend of smart materials in man-made fiber industry
Taiwan textile industry comprehensive research institute, An Dazhong It is indicated that with the pformation of fiber functional focus, fiber function has changed from traditional passive functional fashion type to environmental reaction mode, that is, functional fiber technology has gradually been upgraded to a fiber material machine capable of responding to environmental temperature and humidity.
It is estimated that in the next few years, the market of induction regulated textile materials will have an annual growth rate of 15.4%. The market of non electronic intelligent textile materials is the largest proportion of sports outdoor clothing, followed by pportation, national defense, industry, medical treatment and so on. The regional market is mainly in Europe and Asia Pacific region. Induction regulating textile materials are mainly used to meet the needs of comfortable and safety protection. Their functions are mainly focused on temperature sensitive and humidity memory and their adjustment. In 2018, the market of high value-added clothing reached US $193 billion 700 million.
Artificial fiber: support for improving the quality of life
Weerachai Christwathanyu, Secretary General of Thailand artificial fiber industry association From the beginning of its invention, artificial fiber has developed along with knitting and weaving technology, bringing people more comfortable wearing experience, providing better functions, improving people's quality of life, and helping people cope with health problems, climate change and safety problems.
Man made artificial fibers, one of the main purposes of which is to improve and improve the quality of human life. Due to the rapid change of human environment, various functional fibers need to be further applied to various scenarios. At present, the major manufacturers in Thailand are aware of the importance of sustainable development. They are trying to recycle all products in Thailand with the help of the latest recycling technology, so as to achieve the sustainability of man-made fibers.
Sustainability challenges and future directions
CEO Fibers of Indorama Ventures Ltd. Uday Gil L believes that affluence brings us rich and varied life as well as consumption problems and brings resource intensive consumption and lifestyle. If this continues, people will always pay for it. Mankind has reached the top end of the food chain, and we are also looting the resources of other related parties on this planet, such as the floating of species. This will cause unprecedented consequences and we will not be able to escape such consequences.
Uday Gill said that for sustainable challenges, the solution we need is to optimize the use of resources, and at the same time, human beings should take the responsibility to change and regulate their behavior. For example, the use of closed loop production of chemical fibers and the consideration of recycling, recycling and other problems in the design of chemical fibers, there are many innovative practices in Japan, which are available for our reference. For resource optimization, regulation, self-discipline, infrastructure and so on, we must pay close attention to it. We also need to ensure that the quality of recycled products is closer to the needs of customers. We believe that human behavior can be changed, and the management of old waste should be more consistent with human behavior.
European man-made fiber industry: Sustainability challenges
Fr D ric VAN HOUTE, President of the European artificial fiber Association At present, the practice of reusing, repairing and recycling in the textile / garment industry is emerging. However, the recycling process of textiles is very complicated. Especially when mixed textiles are mixed together, fiber separation becomes a challenge. It is necessary to develop reliable machines that can separate complex and mixed fiber textiles.
As to how to deal with the sustainability of the industry, Fr e d ric VAN HOUTE also mentioned that the quality of recycled materials is very important, the right recycling system should be in place, such as the recycling of PET bottles; the valuable two level raw materials (PET waste bottles, textile wastes, etc.) should not be imported from abroad; the relevant laws and regulations of REACH and waste need to be consistent so as to avoid contradictions; a reverse supply chain must be created to establish partnerships from all aspects of raw materials, chemicals, final products, retailers and downstream users, and at the global level, there must be coordination standards. Our ultimate goal is to reduce waste, including long-term products such as marine waste.
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