The Prosperity Index Of Professional Market Was Basically Flat In July

The prosperity monitoring results of circulation branch of China Textile Federation show that in July 2021, the prosperity index of national textile and garment professional market managers is 50.38, up 0.38 percentage points from 50.00 in June; The business climate index of professional market was 49.73, up 0.02 percentage point from 49.71 in June. In July, the textile and clothing professional market was basically stable, and the overall situation was the same as that in June.

　　 1、 The prosperity of managers and merchants is basically flat

According to the data, in July, the business climate index of the national textile and garment professional market managers and merchants was in line with that in June.

1. The business climate index of managers increased by 0.38%

Data source: circulation branch of China Textile Federation

From the perspective of managers' climate index, the overall index of managers' prosperity index was 50.38 in July, 0.38 percentage points higher than 50.00 in June; The business environment index was 51.29, up 0.64 percentage points from 50.65 in June.

Among the sub indexes, the total business index was 50.65, up 0.65 percentage points from 50.00 in June; The logistics delivery index was 50.65, up 0.65 percentage points from 50.00 in June; The passenger flow index was 50.32, up 0.64 percentage points from 49.68 in June; The opening rate index was 50.65, up 0.33 percentage points from 50.32 in June; The rent index was 49.68, down 0.32 percentage points from 50.00 in June; The e-commerce sales index was 50.32, up 0.32 percentage points from 50.00 in June.

2. The business climate index increased by 0.02%

Data source: circulation branch of China Textile Federation

In terms of the business climate index, the business climate index in July was 49.73, up 0.02 percentage points from 49.71 in June; The business environment index was 50.14, down 0.34 percentage points from 50.48 in June.

Among the sub indexes, the sales index was 49.11, down 0.48 percentage points from 49.59 in June; The average price index was 49.52, up 0.68 percentage points from 48.84 in June; The profit index was 48.97, down 0.48 percentage points from 49.45 in June; The comprehensive cost index was 50.82, up 1.64 percentage points from 49.18 in June; The inventory index was 49.79, down 0.55 percentage points from 50.34 in June; The e-commerce sales index was 50.14, down 0.75 percentage points from 50.89 in June.

　　 2、 Data analysis

1. The overall market operation volume and logistics delivery index are stable

In June, 67.74% of the total market operation, 61.29% of the selected market logistics delivery volume, and 64.52% of the selected market passenger flow were flat, both exceeding 60%. The overall market operation index and logistics delivery volume index were stable, and the off-season of textile and clothing professional market sales was still continuing.

2. The total sales volume and profit index of merchants are stable

In June, 86.99% of the total sales and 88.36% of the total profits of the selected merchants were flat. The total sales index and profit index of the merchants were stable as a whole. The merchants and professional markets entered the off-season simultaneously.

　　 3、 The overall forecast index fell slightly

The data shows that for managers, the business climate index of managers in the next period is 50.00, down 0.65 percentage points from 50.65 in June; The next business environment index was 49.68, which was the same as that in June. In terms of merchants, the next business climate index was 50.14, down 0.34 percentage points from 50.48 in June; The next business environment index was 50.07, down 0.41 percentage points from 50.48 in June. In terms of prediction index, the four prediction indexes of managers and merchants declined slightly. Affected by flood, epidemic situation and abnormal weather, professional market managers and merchants in various regions had low confidence in the sales situation in August.

Attached   Pieces:

1. Monitoring method

"Textile and clothing professional market prosperity index" consists of "manager index" and "merchant index". Using the sampling method, we selected markets and merchants of different business categories such as clothing, fabric, home textiles and small commodities, and filled in the questionnaires of managers' prosperity index and merchants' prosperity index respectively.

2. Monitoring samples

The sample of managers' prosperity consists of 32 specialized textile and garment markets, including Guangzhou Baima clothing market, Beijing Tianya women's clothing building, Jiangsu Dieshiqiao home textile market, Shanghai xinqipu clothing market, Liaoning Xiliu clothing market, etc. The sample of business prosperity is composed of more than 150 merchants, such as Taotao clothing, Muzi thatched house, Ruili Hanshi, zhedi clothing, etc.

3. Monitoring period

The business cycle is monthly, submitted at the end of each month and released at the beginning of the next month.

4. Index composition

In the "textile and clothing professional market prosperity index", the "manager index" consists of four first-class indexes: the current manager prosperity index, the next management prosperity index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index“ The "business climate index of the current period" is composed of six secondary indexes: total business index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, opening rate index, rent index and e-commerce sales index.

"Merchant index" is composed of four first-class indexes: the current business climate index, the next business climate index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index“ The "business climate index of this period" consists of six secondary indexes: Sales Index, average selling price index, profit index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and e-commerce sales index.

5. Index analysis

The positive index includes manager's total business index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, merchant opening rate index, rent index, e-commerce sales volume proportion index, merchant sales volume index, average selling price index, profit index and e-commerce sales proportion index. If the positive index exceeds 50, it indicates that the business situation is optimistic, and the larger the value, the more optimistic it is; The positive index is lower than 50, indicating that the business situation is not optimistic; The smaller the number, the more pessimistic.

The reverse index includes merchant cost index and inventory index. When the cost index is over 50, it means that the merchant's cost pressure decreases; If the cost index is lower than 50, it indicates that the cost pressure of merchants increases. The smaller the value, the greater the cost pressure. When the inventory index exceeds 50, it indicates that the inventory pressure of merchants decreases, and the larger the value, the smaller the inventory pressure; If the inventory index is lower than 50, it indicates that the merchant's inventory pressure increases, and the smaller the value, the greater the inventory pressure.

(source: circulation branch of China Textile Federation)